Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.327954 0.353584 0.381019 0.412699 0.448435 0.487688 0.534329
2025-01-12 0.264998 0.299820 0.339924 0.390112 0.452082 0.527264 0.627253
2025-01-19 0.225162 0.263624 0.310340 0.372481 0.454950 0.563741 0.723905
2025-01-26 0.206179 0.248571 0.302499 0.378293 0.485940 0.640211 0.892993
2025-02-02 0.196093 0.242706 0.304556 0.396114 0.535092 0.752007 1.151963
2025-02-09 0.182881 0.230798 0.296421 0.397530 0.559381 0.830691 1.386614
2025-02-16 0.169458 0.217038 0.283801 0.389946 0.567295 0.882904 1.593162
2025-02-23 0.159845 0.207607 0.276195 0.388623 0.584670 0.955787 1.881205
2025-03-02 0.150147 0.197174 0.265964 0.381542 0.590334 1.007024 2.147265
2025-03-09 0.141640 0.187803 0.256432 0.374306 0.594201 1.055299 2.438381
2025-03-16 0.134281 0.179601 0.247977 0.367819 0.598219 1.104921 2.773476
2025-03-23 0.130372 0.176292 0.246875 0.373847 0.627770 1.223369 3.467828
2025-03-30 0.123374 0.168065 0.237635 0.365042 0.626979 1.270709 3.964236
2025-04-06 0.115632 0.158350 0.225452 0.349938 0.611098 1.275743 4.296892
2025-04-13 0.108797 0.149719 0.214546 0.336277 0.596616 1.281979 4.670990
2025-04-20 0.105988 0.147278 0.213801 0.341816 0.626625 1.432131 6.264241
2025-04-27 0.105041 0.147725 0.217954 0.357355 0.683820 1.701892 9.977441
2025-05-04 0.101881 0.144368 0.215208 0.358658 0.706158 1.865520 13.920443
2025-05-11 0.097798 0.139271 0.209029 0.352172 0.706944 1.947702 17.629445
2025-05-18 0.094793 0.135814 0.205557 0.351047 0.722158 2.102003 25.430905
2025-05-25 0.091307 0.131381 0.200038 0.344955 0.722396 2.191496 34.204062
2025-06-01 0.088035 0.127166 0.194676 0.338718 0.721209 2.276212 47.121933
2025-06-08 0.085057 0.123327 0.189798 0.333120 0.721020 2.368912 68.836342